Illinois State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
320  Ariel Michalek JR 20:38
437  Haley Goers SR 20:49
557  Kelly McShea SR 20:59
949  Ashley England SO 21:31
1,150  Kimberly Sanden SR 21:46
1,293  Haley Verbeke SO 21:55
1,320  Erica Brown SO 21:57
1,576  Megan Krolak FR 22:14
1,809  Kennidi Knoblock FR 22:29
2,144  Lesly Rocha FR 22:53
2,152  Rachel Devereux FR 22:54
2,263  Sydney Billingsley FR 23:03
2,435  Lindsey Lewis SO 23:19
2,793  Sarah Voss FR 24:02
National Rank #114 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #15 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.4%
Top 10 in Regional 31.2%
Top 20 in Regional 98.8%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ariel Michalek Haley Goers Kelly McShea Ashley England Kimberly Sanden Haley Verbeke Erica Brown Megan Krolak Kennidi Knoblock Lesly Rocha Rachel Devereux
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 1108 20:43 20:49 21:38 21:56 21:35 21:43 21:57 22:18 23:22
Bradley 'Pink' Classic Invitational (Red) 10/16 1114 20:41 21:01 21:12 21:44 21:45 22:02 21:48 22:02 22:24 22:46
Bradley 'Pink' Classic Invitational (White) 10/16
Illini Open 10/23 1356 22:34 22:36 23:00
Missouri Valley Conference Championships 10/31 1006 20:14 20:38 21:36 21:18 21:45 21:53 21:55 22:26
Midwest Region Championships 11/13 1046 20:51 20:53 20:33 21:16 22:06 22:03 22:15





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 12.2 373 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.4 4.3 9.0 14.1 15.8 14.3 10.7 8.0 5.8 4.7 3.2 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ariel Michalek 35.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.4
Haley Goers 46.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7
Kelly McShea 58.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Ashley England 105.0
Kimberly Sanden 125.3
Haley Verbeke 139.6
Erica Brown 142.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.0% 0.0 4
5 0.4% 0.4 5
6 1.0% 1.0 6
7 2.4% 2.4 7
8 4.3% 4.3 8
9 9.0% 9.0 9
10 14.1% 14.1 10
11 15.8% 15.8 11
12 14.3% 14.3 12
13 10.7% 10.7 13
14 8.0% 8.0 14
15 5.8% 5.8 15
16 4.7% 4.7 16
17 3.2% 3.2 17
18 2.2% 2.2 18
19 1.7% 1.7 19
20 1.1% 1.1 20
21 0.6% 0.6 21
22 0.3% 0.3 22
23 0.1% 0.1 23
24 0.1% 0.1 24
25 0.0% 0.0 25
26 0.0% 0.0 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0